Why Covid-19 Is Overhyped

I DON'T BUY IT

There is an unsettling feeling bubbling beneath the surface of my conscience. A constant unrelenting little voice that keeps repeating a mantra; "something isn't quite right with this". It's there always, like a splinter just under my skin, begging me to remove it. Why doesn't this feel right? I couldn't quieten the voice enough to allow me to just let it lie, so I went digging for clarity. Here is my summary thus far.

THE PROBLEM WITH THE DATA

Let's start with the data, and why it doesn't correlate with the media induced hysteria. There are two main metrics being pushed unabated by the media on a loop; CASES and DEATHS. The former of these is a red herring, ironically it actually serves only to prove my point further which is this; POSITIVE CASES ARE IRRELEVANT. That's right; contrary to what the media lead you to believe, the amount of cases does not matter in reality. What does matter is hospitalisation, as this is where the true issues arise, those of ICU capacity and healthcare related deficits [staff, equipment and facilities]. All leading media sources confirm that the majority of cases will be either asymptomatic or mild [as much as 78% as per latest reports], meaning they do not require medical attention. Hence we can conclude, the attention should fall on the number of cases considered critical. The number of cases that require hospitalisation. Not the number of positive cases.

Which leads me onto this; the INFECTION RATE too is a misnomer. No country in the world has the capacity to test their entire population. Accordingly the only people being tested are predominantly those displaying serious symptoms, or those with confirmed exposure to the contagion such as early contact tracing/those returning from highly infectious areas. This leads to the scenario whereby a false representation of infection rate is attained, since the majority of those tested will indeed be positive. Ironically, there are even medical professionals adamant that the testing being used is for any variant of coronavirus, not specifically Covid-19, further artificially inflating the data. This too inflates the DEATH RATE as this is calculated as a percentage of those who tested positive; and those who tested positive are largely those displaying severe symptoms. It is to be expected that a large proportion of those who fall really ill [at least enough to qualify for testing] will die. It is tragic, alas it is not reflective of general population.

We would hope that the DEATHS count being reported could alleviate some of the uncertainty and help solidify the threat of this latest virus. Unfortunately, this too fails catastrophically due to the reporting framework and the obvious inconsistencies in the figures. The acclaimed WORLD HEALTH ORGANISATION have made Covid-19 notifiable which itself is not seemingly problematic; however it actually is. Let me explain. Where a patient has tested positive for the virus, regardless of their current state of health or preexisting health conditions, in the event they die they must be included in the DEATH TOLL for Covid-19. This leads to the situation whereby those who would have typically died anyway without the virus have their deaths falsely attributed to Covid-19 simply because they contracted it before passing away. This is attested to by the choice of wording used in the media; "died with Covid-19" or "died after testing positive for Covid-19", yet seldom "died as a result of Covid-19". Two key contributors to my perspective on this are;

• Italy admitting that only 12% of deaths included officially by the WHO actually have Covid-19 included on their death certificates as being a causal factor in their deaths.
• UK Government stating openly on their website that those dying whilst infected are included in the count, regardless of whether it was instrumental in their deaths. Also that the Office of National Statistics are including deaths attributed to Covid-19 when the patients were never tested and infection was simply "suspected".

"The figures on deaths relate in almost all cases to patients who have died in hospital and who have tested positive for COVID-19. 

In addition to these figures, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes weekly counts of deaths in which COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate. It includes cases outside hospital and also some cases where COVID-19 is suspected but no test has taken place. "

In addition to the above, a key factor for consideration in the official DEATH TOLL is demographics of those who have died, which is overwhelmingly the elderly and those with preexisting health conditions. It would be prudent to note the amount of retractions or updates made by the media on cases where initial reporting states young victims with no confirmed underlying health conditions have died, only to later admit their faux pas and clarify that underlying health conditions were indeed present. This is significant.

Assuming that the number of deaths attributed to Covid-19 is accurate [which we know it is not as per above] we can still further add clarity to the numbers using POPULATION and CRUDE DEATH RATE to ascertain a baseline with which to assess EXCESS MORTALITY. In the event that a true viral pandemic was ravaging the world, we would expect huge surges in EXCESS MORTALITY that is, as of yet, absent aside from marginally in the elderly population of Italy. It should also be noted that deaths in the elderly and infirm will occur as a response to the lockdowns, with carers unable to provide their typical level of care. There were reports in Spain of carers abandoning care homes in fear of Covid-19, leaving all the residents to die.

The WORLD HEALTH ORGANISATION mortality database contains data on typical deaths per cause, per year. The latest data from the database indicates that typically over 30 thousand people die of pneumonia in the UK every year. The CRUDE DEATH RATE of 9.4 shows that on average 1,747 people die every day in the UK. We would therefore expect to see EXCESS MORTALITY above these figures every day in the UK, which we simply do not. EUROMOMO shows weekly statistics on EXCESS MORTALITY which reflect no surge. No increase. No excess.

We can take a look at the overall DEATH TOLL as relative to the GLOBAL CRUDE DEATH RATE and illustrate that the figures we are currently seeing [even if we considered every reported death as being directly caused by Covid-19] are still not that shocking [0.00088%]. Currently in the UK the Covid-19 attributed DEATH TOLL stands at a paltry 0.0001% with a total of 5,914 deaths [compared to the typical 113,615 deaths that occur in the same time period]. Again this ignores the fact we have already ascertained that the DEATH TOLL as reported by the WORLD HEALTH ORGANISATION is grossly overinflated.

It is therefore reasonable to conclude from the above that the current deaths being sensationalised in the media and attributed to Covid-19 are in fact those with underlying health conditions who would have died any way within the average 1,747 daily deaths the UK expects. Underlying health issues are also largely instrumental in all chronic respiratory diseases; it isn't a coincidence that almost all of the deaths so far are due to underlying health issues. As the virus spreads [at a moderate rate, if not even lower, like any influenza strain] the % of the 1,747 deaths will become increasingly [and incorrectly] attributed to Covid-19. This does not indicate the epidemic worsening, simply more deaths being wrongly labelled as Covid-19 as more people contract it.

Speaking of the spread of the virus, the presence of exponential growth which is a tell tale indicator of an epidemic is again, absent in the data. The media like to rely on cumulative growth charts that fail to reflect the number of positive cases relative to the amount of people being tested. As more people are tested, and more positive cases identified, there will naturally be an increase in positive case counts. This does not indicate that the virus is rapidly spreading through the population, simply that more cases are being confirmed with testing. The INFECTION RATE of those tested is staying relatively linear, with minor fluctuations, as is the case with all influenza strains. This indicates that this is not a virulent strain with a high R0 number that should be of concern.

CONCLUSION

The take away from the above data is thus; the INFECTION RATE is irrelevant, the DEATH RATE is grossly inflated, and the EXCESS MORTALITY is absent. This all leads to the only obvious conclusion that this is being hugely blown out of proportion and does not justify the measures being implemented worldwide.

Furthermore, many acclaimed epidemiologists and medical professionals are coming forward and speaking out against the draconian measures being implemented labelling them as counterproductive, unnecessary and even riskier than allowing natural herd immunity to increase.

America have recently been pushing forward the #FilmYourHospital approach, whereby citizens are encouraged to swing by their local hospitals that are being described and documented in the media as "war zones" only to find them quiet and largely lifeless despite the reports showing swathes of patients inundating them. Many hospitals themselves are also reporting that the expected "tidal waves" of hospitalisations are never manifesting.

SOURCES:
A lot of my awareness of updates regarding this can be found here: https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/